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Result: Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina

3–1
Qatar

Qatar

✗ Pick LOST — over 3.5 cards

locked · 250h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Qatar 3-1.

The market priced Bosnia & Herzegovina as favorite at 69.4% — it held. The final score carried a 7.4% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Bosnia & Herzegovina at 69.4% — it held.

Bosnia & Herzegovina
69.4%
1.45
Draw
18.3%
5.50
Qatar
12.3%
8.20

Best odds per outcome · GTbets

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-1 (the model gave it 7.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Bosnia & Herzegovina – Qatar

  1. 2–0
    11.2%
  2. 1–0
    9.8%
  3. 2–1
    9.7%
Both teams score: 52.0%Over 2.5 goals: 61.3%Expected goals: 3.2

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Bosnia & Herzegovina55.2% → 68.3%▲ 13.1

Draw26.2% → 18.6%▼ 7.6

Qatar18.6% → 13.2%▼ 5.4

28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

Propover 3.5 cards
✗ PERDIDO★★★★1.36
Propno draw
✓ GANADO★★★★1.45
Propbtts yes
✓ GANADO★★★★1.44
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★1.32
totalover 2.5
✓ GANADO★★★★+46.0%2.02

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DL

Goals: 1.0 for · 2.5 against (avg)

Qatar

DL

Goals: 0.5 for · 3.5 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group B

  1. 1SwitzerlandSwitzerland3+47
  2. 2CanadaCanada3+54
  3. 3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina3-14
  4. 4QatarQatar3-81

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

  • I. Basic

    I. Basic

    Midfielder · Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

    7.51

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • J. Lukic

    J. Lukic

    Attacker · Universitatea Cluj

    7.31

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • N. Katic

    N. Katic

    Defender · FC Schalke 04

    6.93

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Qatar

  • Akram Afif

    Akram Afif

    Attacker · Al Sadd

    7.15

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • Hassan Al Haydos

    Hassan Al Haydos

    Attacker · Al Sadd

    7.15

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • Lucas Mendes

    Lucas Mendes

    Defender · Al Wakrah

    7.09

    Stars League

    1+1

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar?+

It ended Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar at the 2026 World Cup.

Who was the favorite in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar?+

The market had Bosnia & Herzegovina as favorite at 69.4% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar played?+

It was played on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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