Result: Belgium 0-0 Iran
World Cup 2026 ·
Belgium
Iran
✗ Pick LOST — no draw
locked · 130h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Belgium drew with Iran 0-0.
The market priced Belgium as favorite at 67.7% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 6.1% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Belgium at 67.7% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-0 (the model gave it 6.1%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Belgium – Iran
- 2–013.0%
- 1–012.6%
- 2–19.6%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Belgium66.5% → 66.8%▲ 0.3
Draw21% → 20.4%▼ 0.6
Iran12.6% → 12.7%▲ 0.1
25 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Belgium
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Iran
Goals: 2.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group G
- 1Belgium3+45
- 2
Egypt3+25 - 3Iran303
- 4
New Zealand3-61
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Belgium
L. Trossard
Midfielder · Arsenal
7.72
at the World Cup
2+2
G+A
Y. Tielemans
Midfielder · Aston Villa
7.48
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
N. Raskin
Midfielder · Rangers
7.34
at the World Cup
0+2
G+A
Iran
A. Beiranvand
Goalkeeper · Tractor Sazi
7.67
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
R. Rezaeian
Defender · Esteghlal FC
7.6
at the World Cup
2+1
G+A
S. Khalilzadeh
Defender · Tractor Sazi
7.17
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Belgium vs Iran?+
It ended Belgium 0-0 Iran at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Belgium vs Iran?+
The market had Belgium as favorite at 67.7% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Belgium vs Iran played?+
It was played on Sunday 21 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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