Result: Australia 2-0 Turkey
World Cup 2026 ·
Australia
Turkey
✓ Pick WON — Australia
locked · 149h 13m before kickoff
What happened
Australia beat Turkey 2-0.
The market priced Turkey as favorite at 57.2% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 2.8% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Turkey at 57.2% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Coolbet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 2-0 (the model gave it 2.8%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Australia – Turkey
- 0–113.1%
- 0–211.3%
- 1–111.2%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Australia21.4% → 18.2%▼ 3.2
Draw26.4% → 25.2%▼ 1.2
Turkey52.2% → 56.7%▲ 4.5
17 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group D
- 1
USA3+46 - 2Australia304
- 3
Paraguay3-24 - 4Türkiye3-23
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Australia
P. Beach
Goalkeeper · Melbourne City
7.43
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
A. Circati
Defender · Parma
7.42
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
J. Irvine
Midfielder · FC St. Pauli
7.25
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Turkey
A. Güler
Midfielder · Real Madrid
7.7
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
E. Elmali
Defender · Galatasaray
7.52
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
I. Yüksek
Midfielder · Fenerbahçe
7.29
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Australia vs Turkey?+
It ended Australia 2-0 Turkey at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Australia vs Turkey?+
The market had Turkey as favorite at 57.2% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Australia vs Turkey played?+
It was played on Sunday 14 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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