Edgely
Log in

Result: Argentina 2-0 Austria

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Argentina

Argentina

2–0
Austria

Austria

✓ Pick WON — no draw

locked · 32h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Argentina beat Austria 2-0. Goals: L. Messi (38'), L. Messi (90'+5').

The market priced Argentina as favorite at 65.8% — it held. The final score carried a 13.2% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Argentina at 65.8% — it held.

Argentina
65.8%
1.53
Draw
22.4%
4.50
Austria
11.8%
8.50

Best odds per outcome · 1xBet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 2-0 (the model gave it 13.2%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Argentina – Austria

  1. 1–0
    13.5%
  2. 2–0
    13.2%
  3. 1–1
    9.7%
Both teams score: 44.0%Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%Expected goals: 2.7

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Argentina56.5% → 64.5%▲ 8

Draw25.3% → 22.3%▼ 3

Austria18.2% → 13.2%▼ 5

26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

Propno draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.28
totalover 0.5
✓ GANADO★★★★1.29
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★1.36
Propbtts yes
✗ PERDIDO★★★★1.49

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Argentina

W

Goals: 3.0 for · 0.0 against (avg)

Austria

W

Goals: 3.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group J

  1. 1ArgentinaArgentina3+79
  2. 2AustriaAustria304
  3. 3AlgeriaAlgeria3-24
  4. 4JordanJordan3-50

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Argentina

  • L. Messi

    L. Messi

    Attacker · Inter Miami

    9.36

    at the World Cup

    8+1

    G+A

  • G. Lo Celso

    G. Lo Celso

    Midfielder · Real Betis

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • Lisandro Martínez

    Lisandro Martínez

    Defender · Manchester United

    7.72

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

Austria

  • M. Svoboda

    M. Svoboda

    Defender · Venezia

    7.33

    Serie B

    3+2

    G+A

  • P. Pentz

    P. Pentz

    Goalkeeper · Brondby

    7.25

    Superliga

    0+0

    G+A

  • F. Wiegele

    F. Wiegele

    Goalkeeper · Plzen

    7.18

    Czech Liga

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Argentina vs Austria?+

It ended Argentina 2-0 Austria at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: L. Messi (38'), L. Messi (90'+5').

Who was the favorite in Argentina vs Austria?+

The market had Argentina as favorite at 65.8% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Argentina vs Austria played?+

It was played on Monday 22 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

More World Cup predictions

See the full World Cup hub →

18+ · Edgely sells analysis, we don't process bets. If you bet, do it responsibly.