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Result: Argentina 3-0 Algeria

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Argentina

Argentina

3–0
Algeria

Algeria

What happened

Argentina beat Algeria 3-0. Goals: L. Messi (17'), L. Messi (60'), L. Messi (76').

The market priced Argentina as favorite at 68.7% — it held. The final score carried a 9.4% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Argentina at 68.7% — it held.

Argentina
68.7%
1.46
Draw
20.9%
4.80
Algeria
10.4%
9.60

Best odds per outcome · 1xBet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-0 (the model gave it 9.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Argentina – Algeria

  1. 1–0
    14.6%
  2. 2–0
    14.4%
  3. 3–0
    9.5%
Both teams score: 40.3%Over 2.5 goals: 48.2%Expected goals: 2.6

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Argentina67.1% → 67.4%▲ 0.3

Draw21.1% → 21.1%— 0

Algeria11.7% → 11.5%▼ 0.2

20 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

This match had no pick: the auto-analyst didn't find enough edge. Not forcing picks is part of the discipline too.

Group standings

Group J

  1. 1ArgentinaArgentina3+79
  2. 2AustriaAustria304
  3. 3AlgeriaAlgeria3-24
  4. 4JordanJordan3-50

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Argentina

  • L. Messi

    L. Messi

    Attacker · Inter Miami

    9.36

    at the World Cup

    8+1

    G+A

  • G. Lo Celso

    G. Lo Celso

    Midfielder · Real Betis

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • Lisandro Martínez

    Lisandro Martínez

    Defender · Manchester United

    7.72

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

Algeria

  • A. Benbouali

    A. Benbouali

    Attacker · Gyori ETO FC

    7.7

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • R. Mahrez

    R. Mahrez

    Attacker · Al-Ahli Jeddah

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    2+1

    G+A

  • A. Boulbina

    A. Boulbina

    Attacker · Al-Duhail SC

    7.4

    AFC Champions League Elite

    12+4

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Argentina vs Algeria?+

It ended Argentina 3-0 Algeria at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: L. Messi (17'), L. Messi (60'), L. Messi (76').

Who was the favorite in Argentina vs Algeria?+

The market had Argentina as favorite at 68.7% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Argentina vs Algeria played?+

It was played on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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