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Result: Algeria 3-3 Austria

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Algeria

Algeria

3–3
Austria

Austria

✓ Pick WON — Austria or draw

locked · 233h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Algeria drew with Austria 3-3. Goals: M. Arnautovic (28'), R. Belghali (45'), M. Sabitzer (55'), R. Mahrez (60'), R. Mahrez (90'+3'), S. Kalajdzic (90'+6').

The market priced Draw as favorite at 42% — it held. The final score carried a 0.4% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Draw at 42% — it held.

Draw
42%
2.38
Austria
34.2%
2.92
Algeria
23.8%
4.20

Best odds per outcome · Matchbook

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-3 (the model gave it 0.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Algeria – Austria

  1. 0–1
    14.1%
  2. 1–1
    13.4%
  3. 0–0
    12.3%
Both teams score: 41.8%Over 2.5 goals: 34.9%Expected goals: 2.1

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (1.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Algeria26.7% → 24.6%▼ 2.1

Draw28.8% → 41.5%▲ 12.7

Austria44.5% → 33.9%▼ 10.6

26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropAustria or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.04
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★1.36
totalover 2.5
✓ GANADO★★★★+47.4%2.17

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Algeria

LW

Goals: 1.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)

Austria

WL

Goals: 1.5 for · 1.5 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group J

  1. 1ArgentinaArgentina3+79
  2. 2AustriaAustria304
  3. 3AlgeriaAlgeria3-24
  4. 4JordanJordan3-50

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Algeria

  • A. Benbouali

    A. Benbouali

    Attacker · Gyori ETO FC

    7.7

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • R. Mahrez

    R. Mahrez

    Attacker · Al-Ahli Jeddah

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    2+1

    G+A

  • A. Boulbina

    A. Boulbina

    Attacker · Al-Duhail SC

    7.4

    AFC Champions League Elite

    12+4

    G+A

Austria

  • M. Svoboda

    M. Svoboda

    Defender · Venezia

    7.33

    Serie B

    3+2

    G+A

  • P. Pentz

    P. Pentz

    Goalkeeper · Brondby

    7.25

    Superliga

    0+0

    G+A

  • F. Wiegele

    F. Wiegele

    Goalkeeper · Plzen

    7.18

    Czech Liga

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Algeria vs Austria?+

It ended Algeria 3-3 Austria at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: M. Arnautovic (28'), R. Belghali (45'), M. Sabitzer (55'), R. Mahrez (60'), R. Mahrez (90'+3'), S. Kalajdzic (90'+6').

Who was the favorite in Algeria vs Austria?+

The market had Draw as favorite at 42% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Algeria vs Austria played?+

It was played on Sunday 28 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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